Constraining the stratospheric sulfate budget in global models: Insights from in situ OCS measurements during 2023 SABRE and comparison with satellite, balloon and surface data

Gurganus, C., Bednarz, E. M., Rollins, A., Waxman, E., Ray, E., et al. (2026). Constraining the stratospheric sulfate budget in global models: Insights from in situ OCS measurements during 2023 SABRE and comparison with satellite, balloon and surface data. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117405

Title Constraining the stratospheric sulfate budget in global models: Insights from in situ OCS measurements during 2023 SABRE and comparison with satellite, balloon and surface data
Genre Article
Author(s) C. Gurganus, E. M. Bednarz, A. Rollins, E. Waxman, E. Ray, E. Hintsa, F. Moore, D. Nance, B. Hall, S. A. Montzka, I. Vimont, J. P. Schwarz, S. DeLone, S. Ciciora, S. Abou‐Rizk, Jun Zhang, T. Thornberry
Abstract In situ carbonyl sulfide (OCS) measurements from the Stratospheric Aerosol processes, Budget and Radiative Effects (SABRE) 2023 airborne campaign are used to evaluate the sulfate budget in the Arctic stratosphere during boreal winter. The strong correspondence between these measurements and remote retrievals from the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment–Fourier Transform Spectrometer provide robust validation of the satellite's capability to monitor stratospheric OCS globally. We demonstrate how trends in the tropical tropopause layer and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration OCS surface data reveal a post‐2016 ∼8% global decline in OCS abundance, which is absent from many global climate models. New simulations with a revised planetary boundary layer OCS abundance show improved agreement with remote retrievals and in situ data across multiple stratospheric layers, but remaining model biases highlight the need for additional in situ OCS observations. The revised representation reduces the stratospheric sulfate burden, resulting in an increased shortwave solar flux at the tropical tropopause by as much as 0.3 Wm −2 locally, with implications for stratospheric circulation, radiative forcing, and climate feedbacks.
Publication Title Geophysical Research Letters
Publication Date Jan 28, 2026
Publisher's Version of Record https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117405
OpenSky Citable URL https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7862mx0
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ACOM Affiliations MODELING

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